Membuat keputusan ada ilmunya - bukan ngelmu

Nemu di internet aja. Tapi ini penting juga sih bagaimana kita bisa membuat keputusan dengan baik, dan tidak dilakukan hanya secara intuitif tetapi dengan cara yang ilmiah. Terlepas dari berbagai keterbatasan dan kritik atasnya, hal ini lebih baik dari pada mengandalkan ramalan bintang.

Overcoming Serious Indecisiveness: " In the decision-making modeling process we must investigate the effects of presenting different decision alternatives retrospectively; that is, 'as if' you have implemented your strategy. The decision has already been made under a different course of actions. The key to a good decision is reflection before action, therefore, the sequence of steps in the above decision-making modeling process must be considered in reverse order. For example, the output (which is the result of our action) must be considered first. The following are the decision-making sequential steps with some possible loops:

1. Value and the Objective: Consider the full range of objectives to be fulfilled and the values implicated by your action.

2. Set of Actions: Thoroughly consider a wide range of possible alternative courses of action. The above decision-making process includes the study of identifying and choosing alternatives based on the values and preferences of the decision-maker. Therefore making a decision implies that there are alternative choices to be considered, and in such a case we want not only to identify as many of these alternatives as possible but to choose the one that best fits with our goals, desires, lifestyle, values, and so on.

3. Evaluate the Consequences: Carefully weigh whatever you know about the costs and risks of negative as well as positive consequences that could flow from each alternative.

4. Gathering Information: Intensively search for new information relevant to further evaluation of the alternatives. Information can be classified as explicit and tacit forms. The explicit information can be explained in structured form, while tacit information is inconsistent and fuzzy to explain. Decision-making process must include the reduction of uncertainty and doubt about the uncontrollable inputs. This can be achieved by gathering reliable information. Although the uncertainty cannot be eliminated in most c"